The Three Forces About to Crush Inflation
Inflation just hit a three-year high, and the consensus has decided the era of cheap is over for good. Neil Woodford thinks that's exactly wrong — and that the inflation in the headlines is mostly one war showing up in the oil price.
Jon Adair and Neil Woodford take apart the Financial Times' "end of cheap" argument and make the case that three of the most powerful deflationary forces in modern history are building at the same time — and that a single oil shock is hiding all of them.
In this episode:
- The difference between a supply shock and structural inflation, and why almost everyone confuses the two
- China's $2 trillion trade surplus, and why it has no choice but to keep exporting deflation
- Why the energy market is heading for a glut, not a shortage
- How the collapsing cost of AI and the rise of humanoid robots pull prices down
- What it means for interest rates, bonds and equities if Neil is right — and what would prove him wrong
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Show notesBritain Can Grow Its Way Out of This Budget
Budget 2026 raised the tax on your savings and rental income, on top of a rise already due in April, and the Chancellor barely mentioned it. Neil Woodford explains why John Healey did it, and why he thinks the official forecast that says more tax rises are coming is wrong.
Show notesThe AI Boom Is Only in the Foothills
AI stocks sold off hard last week, and the Financial Times called it a dress rehearsal for an AI reckoning. Is the AI bubble about to burst? Neil Woodford thinks the AI boom is only in the foothills, but he has a clear view on who is holding the risk if it doesn’t pay for itself.
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